About iFLOOD: Integrated Flood Forecasting Systems

Developing the next generation of total water flood forecasts

The products provided here are for educational and scientific research only and should not be used for decision making in their present form. The models, methods and results published here are under constant testing, development and subject to educational and training exercises on real time.

The iFLOOD is a scientific experiment and educational tool to incorporate multi-scale and multi-temporal physical process for total water predictions, including large scale oceanic process, estuarine hydrodynamics, riverine flows, urban runoff, and nearshore waves. It is a constantly evolving framework that combines a multi-model framework providing several flood forecasting parameters at a range of temporal scales.

Our goal is to develop research and educational systems supporting the creation of the next generation of real time flood forecast systems, capable of providing accurate, timely and reliable information to support emergency management and response in areas impacted by multi-flood hazards. Our students are working on the complex dynamics of multi-flood hazards including storm surges, riverine flow, tidal oscillation and urban storm water systems. IFLOOD is a web based tool that integrates computational models capable of predicting the total water levels resulting from the interaction of these systems in real time and into the future.

Current operational systems:

Regional Scale Chesapeake Bay Flood Forecast System powered by ADCIRC + SWAN + NAM

This system provides flood forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay region utilizing the hydrodynamic model Advanced Circulation Model (ADCIRC) and the phase-averaged wave model (SWAN) forced by the atmospheric model North American Mesoscale (NAM) from NOAA. The system is run 2 times a day and provides water level forecasts for 84 hours into the future. The system is based on the numerical mesh especially designed to the Chesapeake Bay.

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Potomac River Flood Forecast System powered by ADCIRC + NAM + AHPS

This system provides flood forecasts for the tidal region of the Potomac River spanning from Lewsieta to Little Falls covering the Washington Metropolitan region, including coastal areas of the National Capital, Alexandria and Arlington. The system utilizes the hydrodynamic model Advanced Circulation Model (ADCIRC) with a numerical mesh specifically design to the Potomac River. The system is run 2 times a day and provides water levels forecasts for 84 hours into the future. The predictions include tidal conditions, river flows and river forcing.

Coastal Erosion Forecast System powered by XBEACH + ADCIRC + WW3

This system provides coastal flood and erosion forecasts for the Magothy Bay Natural Area Preserve and for Croatan beach in Virginia Beach using the XBEACH 1D model. The system is run 4 times a day and provides topo/bathymetric (coastal erosion) and coastal flooding forecasts for the next 84 hours. It utilizes the Mason Flood Hazards Chesapeake Bay Flood Forecasting system as a boundary condition. This system is under development.

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Dr. Celso Ferreira

Celso Ferreira

Associate Professor, Water Resources Engineering
Telephone: (703) 993-1782
Fax: (703) 993-9790
1411 Nguyen Engineering Building
Ferreira Research Group Website
Arslaan Khalid
Forecast Model Developer
Ph.D. Student (Water Resources Engineering)

M.S. Civil Engineering, GMU, USA
B.S. Civil Engineering, NUST, Pakistan

Telephone: (703)678-9528
William O'Connell
Web Developer

Thomas Jefferson High School
2018 Mentorship Program

Tyler Miesse
Forecast Model Developer

Civil, Environmental and Infrastructural Engineering, George Mason University
Senior (Graduating in Fall 2018)

Telephone: 757.818.0429
Juan Luis Garzon Hervas
Ph.D Student, Dept. of Civil, Environmental & Infrastructure Engineering

Telephone: (571) 363-6019
Personal Research Web Page
Seth Lawler
M.S. Civil and Environmental Engineering

Water Resources Engineer
Resilience Solutions Group

Telephone: 703.849.0213
Personal Research Web Page
Selina Jahan Sumi
M.S. in Civil Engineering, University of Louisiana at Lafayette

Telephone: 703.849.0213
Prachi Gupta
Software Engineer
Graduate Student, Master of Science in Computer Science
George Mason University
Telephone: (571)-635-2563
Web Link
Christine Wang
Thomas Jefferson High School
2016 Mentorship Program

Special Thanks

GMU iFLOOD uses icons by JEREMIE SOMMET from The Noun Project.

Some map data uses color schemes from Peter Kovesi. Good Colour Maps: How to Design Them.